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Tuesday, January 17, 2023

in 2022, most $100 Million -Plus Sales were in Florida

 A Manalapan home sold for $173M in June – possibly the largest deal ever closed in Fla. – and a Coconut Grove sale brought in over $106M.

NEW YORK – According to real estate appraisal firm Miller Samuel and The Wall Street Journal, at least seven deals closed for $100 million or more in 2022. Of these deals, four closed in Florida, including the $173 million Gemini estate in Manalapan purchased by Oracle’s Larry Ellison.

The off-market deal comprised a record-setting purchase in June of an oceanfront estate near Palm Beach, and marked the largest deal ever closed in Florida. The roughly 16-acre property was long owned by the Ziff publishing family and is on a barrier island in Manalapan, comprising roughly 1,200 feet of ocean frontage and 1,300 feet on the Intracoastal Waterway. The property’s structures include a 62,200-square-foot main residence and a seven-bedroom guesthouse.

In September, hedge-fund billionaire and Citadel founder Ken Griffin purchased a $107 million estate in Miami’s Coconut Grove area, a Miami-area record. The seller was businesswoman and philanthropist Adrienne Arsht, who put the property on the market for $150 million in January. The waterfront estate includes two separate homes comprising 12 bedrooms and about 25,000 square feet. The main residence was built around 2000 by Arsht, while the second property dates to 1913, when it was constructed for former U.S. Secretary of State William Jennings Bryan.

Finally, InterSystems’ Phillip Ragon purchased a trio of homes on Golden Beach for $93 million in June with plans to tear them down. Ragon intends to construct a new residence, say people familiar with the situation. The three properties collectively include about 1.7 acres with about 275 feet of ocean frontage.

Source: Wall Street Journal (01/04/23) Clark, Katherine

© Copyright 2023 INFORMATION INC., Bethesda, MD (301) 215-4688

Friday, January 13, 2023

Florida Releases County-by-County Property Insurance Report

 JANUARY 11, 2023

Florida Releases County-by-County Property Insurance Report

An Office of Insurance Regulation report on property-market stability found the lowest single-family costs in Sumter ($1,533) and the highest in Monroe ($7,162).

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – The Florida Office of Insurance Regulation issued its first Property Insurance Stability Report for 2023 last week. On a county-by-county basis, it found that Sumter County has the lowest average cost for single-family home property insurance at $1,533, while Monroe County had the highest average cost at $7,162.

Property insurance: 10 highest-priced Florida counties

  1. Monroe County: $7,162 (single-family homes)
  2. Miami-Dade County: $5,391
  3. Palm Beach County: $5,247
  4. Broward County: $5,164
  5. Martin County: $4,756
  6. Walton County: $4,337
  7. Franklin County: $4,267
  8. Collier County: $4,230
  9. Indian River County: $3,386
  10. Gulf County: $3,020

Property insurance: 10 lowest priced Florida counties

  1. Sumter: $1,533 (single-family homes)
  2. Baker: $1,694
  3. Marion: $1,730
  4. Hernando: $1,767
  5. Lake: $1,859
  6. Wakulla: $1,870
  7. Gilchrist: $1,874
  8. Citrus: $1,876
  9. Alachua: $1,877
  10. Columbia: $1,885

However, the numbers were collected before the December special session of the Florida Legislature, and new laws should slowly show improvement during 2023.

The report notes one of the big historical problems in Florida: In 2021, Florida had 6.91% of all U.S. insurance claims in the U.S. – but three out of four property insurance lawsuits (76%) were in Florida. The high rate of property insurance lawsuits cost a lot of money, which insurers added to their individual property owners’ coverage quotes.

A number of insurance experts think December’s legislative changes – coupled with changes made earlier in 2022 – will slowly have a positive impact on the Florida insurance market and the cost to individual homeowners. Specifically, Senate Bill 2A, passed in December and signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis, will impact two high-cost areas of concern:

  • One-way attorney fees: The chief driver of Florida lawsuits is a provision known as “one-way” attorney fees that allow a plaintiff (the policyholder) to recover attorney fees, but not the defendant (the insurer). The practice incentivized unwarranted litigation. 
  • Assignment of Benefits (AOB): Under AOB, homeowners who suffered a loss “assign” insurance benefits to a contractor that then deals directly with their insurance company. The contractor-insurer negotiations also led to lawsuits.

Florida county – Single-family ins. average cost – Condo ins. average cost

  • Alachua: $1,877 (single-family) – $830 (condominium)
  • Baker: $1,694 – $745
  • Bay: $2,737 – $1,921
  • Bradford: $786 – $1,151
  • Brevard: $2,760 – $1,212
  • Broward: $5,164 – $1,548
  • Calhoun: $2,538 – $3.171
  • Charlotte: $2,364 – $1,081
  • Citrus: $1,876 – $945
  • Clay: $1,933 – $747
  • Collier: $4,230 – $1,795
  • Columbia: $1,885 – $933
  • Desoto: $2,500 – $784
  • Dixie: $2,254 – $878
  • Duval: $2,096 – $855
  • Escambia: $2,929 – $1,471
  • Flagler: $2,016 – $1,1113
  • Franklin: $4,267 – $1,246
  • Gadsden: $2,034 – $900
  • Gilchrist: $1,874 – $1,698
  • Glades: $2,681 – $772
  • Gulf: $3,020 – $1,338
  • Hamilton: $2,023 – N/A
  • Hardee: $2,502 – $778
  • Hendry: $2,483 – $1,157
  • Hernando: $1,767 – $878
  • Highlands: $2,037 – $840
  • Hillsborough: $2,513 – $1,073
  • Holmes: $2,283 – N/A
  • Indian River: $3,386 – $1,646
  • Jackson: $2,192 – N/A
  • Jefferson: $2,160 – N/A
  • Lafayette: $2,304 – N/A
  • Lake: $1,859 – $861
  • Lee: $2,735 – $1,125
  • Leon: $1,973 – $716
  • Levy: $2,118 – $1,286
  • Liberty: $2,283 – N/A
  • Madison: $2,138 – N/A
  • Manatee: $2,334 – $1,139
  • Marion: $1,730 – $825
  • Martin: $4,756 – $1,408
  • Miami-Dade: $5,391 – $2,440
  • Monroe: $7,162 – $3,657
  • Nassau: $2,282 – $1,156
  • Okaloosa: $3,014 – $1,418
  • Okeechobee: $2,797 – $1,227
  • Orange: $2,629 – $960
  • Osceola: $2,155 – $908
  • Palm Beach: $5,247 – $1,923
  • Pasco: $2,058 – $821
  • Pinellas: $2,938 – $1,142
  • Polk: $2,090 – $898
  • Putnam: $1,910 – $844
  • Santa Rosa: $2,745 – $1,477
  • Sarasota: $2,686 – $1,461
  • Seminole: $2,608 – $916
  • St. Johns: $2,296 – $1,121
  • St. Lucie: $2,713 – $1,291
  • Sumter: $1,533 – $833
  • Suwannee: $2,094 – N/A
  • Taylor: $2,119 – $1,014
  • Union: $1,976 – N/A
  • Volusia: $2,192 – $987
  • Wakulla: $1,870 – $1,369
  • Walton: $4,337 – $1,619
  • Washington: $2,312 – N/A

© 2023 Florida Realtors®

Tuesday, January 10, 2023

Study: What's a Hurricane’s Impact on a Florida Neighborhood?

 Areas tend to gentrify slightly in the years following a hurricane – the average income of new buyers increases while long-term demand stays stable.

CAPE CORAL, Fla. – A new peer-reviewed study, which analyzes Florida housing markets battered by hurricanes, finds that affected areas tend to gentrify slightly in the years following a storm: The average income of new buyers increases while long-term demand stays stable.

The authors of the paper – who are based at Resources for the Future (RFF), the University of California San Diego, and the U.S. Government Accountability Office – use data from county tax assessments, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and Zillow to gauge conditions of the housing markets and population turnover in Florida from 2000 to 2016.

The finding that housing demand didn’t decrease – and, perhaps counterintuitively, attracted wealthier inhabitants – was particularly surprising to the authors, especially given Florida’s reckoning with hurricane adaptation and resilience measures in the face of climate change.

“Hurricanes are projected to get stronger,” coauthor and RFF Fellow Yanjun (Penny) Liao said. “Our findings show that the idea that people will naturally retreat from hazardous areas may not necessarily hold up. In Florida, at least, it appears that market forces are not encouraging people to move to safer places.”

The authors find that hurricanes cause a temporary increase in home prices, likely due to the sudden decrease in housing supply from storm losses. However, they find that prices subside to baseline levels after an average of three years, which is approximately how long it takes for areas to build up housing stock to pre-storm levels. But during those pivotal three years when housing prices are higher than normal, the authors note several important tendencies:

  • In the three years following a hurricane, the average income of new buyers increases proportionally to the rise in home prices. By the time prices stabilize, more than a quarter of all homes are occupied by households with a higher income than before the hurricane arrived.
  • Home prices in hurricane-ravaged areas are 5% higher on average than unaffected ones during the three years following a hurricane. After three years, prices return to – but do not drop below – pre-storm levels.
  • There is no significant change to the socio-demographic characteristics of neighborhoods after a hurricane other than income.
  • Hurricanes do not fundamentally change the long-run demand for housing in affected areas. One hypothesis for the gentrification phenomena is that wealthier households may move into communities at a higher rate following a storm because they have a greater ability to both absorb the temporary price increase and any insurance cost increases.

“In some ways, this indicates a market flaw given the current state of the climate,” said coauthor Joshua Graff Zivin of the University of California San Diego. “Policies may be needed to ensure that these communities have strong adaptation and mitigation measures in place to deal with future storms.”

The findings in this study are something that the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) and federal disaster assistance programs could find useful. Gentrification in Florida could lead to higher post-hurricane insurance claims from the NFIP, which could place a heavier burden on federal taxpayers, who back the program. In addition, federal spending in disaster assistance could also increase as a result.

The authors note that future research should examine the equity implications of post-hurricane housing markets, particularly in the context of fluctuating housing prices and options available to lower income buyers and renters in the years following a hurricane.

© 2023 Buzz Future LLC Provided by SyndiGate Media Inc. (Syndigate.info).

Friday, January 6, 2023

2023 Forecast: East Will Be a Sellers’ Market

 By Kerry Smith

Knock’s market index forecasts a divided nation in 2023, with sellers retaining an edge on the eastern side of the U.S. and buyers gaining leverage on the west.

NEW YORK – As the reality of high home prices and higher mortgage rates sets in, U.S. homebuyers will gain some leverage in 2023. However, shoppers are in for different experiences depending on where they want to move, according to the Knock Buyer-Seller Market Index 2023 forecast.

The Index analyzes key housing market metrics and measures whether the nation’s 100 largest markets favor homebuyers or sellers. The new index notes that the Mississippi River generally divides the country in 2023, with the top 5 buyers’ markets west of the Mississippi and the top 5 sellers’ markets concentrated along the East Coast.

“With home prices and interest rates cutting into purchasing power, the relocation hotspots where prices grew quickly during the pandemic will increasingly favor buyers in 2023, while more mid-sized markets offering good job opportunities and affordable housing will be the top performing real estate markets in 2023,” says Knock Co-Founder and CEO Sean Black. “This will usher in a more balanced housing market. However, home shoppers will find different scenarios depending where in the U.S. they are looking.”

Based on the November 2022 Buyer-Seller Index, the latest month of available data, inventory rose in 80 of the 100 largest housing markets and all but two moved at least marginally toward favoring buyers.

For 11 months in 2022, the top buyers’ markets were all west of the Mississippi and popular relocation spots during the pandemic, which caused home prices to accelerate at a faster pace than the rest of the nation on average. Prices in the top five buyers’ markets rose by 44.6% on average between January 2020 and last month compared to 34.9% for the rest of the nation during the same period.

No Florida city made the index as a top 25 buyer’s market.

Top 5 buyers’ metros for 2023

  1. Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, Ariz.
  2. Colorado Springs, Colo.
  3. Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, Nev.
  4. Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas
  5. Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, Colo

Although these markets will see median home price growth moderate and even decline from pandemic peaks in 2023, prices are forecast to end the year 38% above pre-pandemic levels, 3% higher than the national average change.

A sign of a slowing market, inventory is expected to grow significantly (54.4% on average) in the top buyers’ markets. Denver will see inventory grow by nearly 100%, ranking second behind Charlotte, N.C., which is projected to lead the nation in inventory growth at 148.3%.

Sellers advantage in smaller, more affordable markets

Concentrated in the East Coast, the top sellers’ markets are forecast to see the strongest growth in home sales and listing prices in 2023. They tend to be smaller to mid-size markets with populations under 1 million, where home prices have remained affordable.

Despite increasing by as much as 50% since January 2020, prices in the top sellers’ markets remain well below the national median home price of $374,000.

Top 5 sellers markets for 2023

  1. Fayetteville, N.C.
  2. Harrisburg-Carlisle, Pa.
  3. Syracuse, N.Y.
  4. Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, Conn.
  5. York-Hanover, Pa.

Florida metros in ‘top 25’ for a seller’s market

Markets – Sales change in Nov. 2023 – Price change by Nov. 2023

  • 15. Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater – sales down 5.5% – prices up 9.9%
  • 20. Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach – sales down 6.9% – prices up 3.3%
  • 21. Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford – sales down 7.6% – prices up 6.7%
  • 22. Jacksonville – sales down 7.6% – prices up 1.4%

Home sales across the top sellers’ markets are forecast to rise by between 5% and 18% over the next 12 months except in Hartford, Conn., where they’re projected to dip by 1.7%. In contrast, sales are forecast to decline by 16.3% for the rest of the nation by the end of 2023.

On average, the median home price in these markets is expected to increase 8.3%, compared to the less than 1% increase forecast for the U.S. as a whole. Days on market will average 15 days, half the forecasted national median of 30 days, while average months’ supply will be just one month, compared to 3.1 months for the 100 largest markets.

Forecast for November 2023

According to the Index, the nation’s 100 largest housing markets will continue to teeter in neutral territory over the next few months, gain some momentum toward sellers in the spring, and then move firmly into buyers’ market territory by summer – a trend that will continue through the end of the year.

By November 2023, 36 markets are forecast to be buyers’ markets (up from 14 in November 2022), 41 markets will remain sellers’ markets (down from 46), and 23 will be neutral.

As the market continues to cool, the 100 largest markets are projected to see home sales decline by 16.3% year over year. Fayetteville, Ark., will face the largest falloff at -22.9%.

By the middle of 2023, months’ supply will surpass three months for the first time since the summer of 2019. Charlotte, N.C., is forecast to lead the nation in months’ supply at 12.7 – double that of Port St. Lucie, Fla., which is forecast to have the second-highest months’ supply at 6.2.

© 2023 Florida Realtors®

Thursday, January 5, 2023

Homeowners: File Now for Homestead Exemption

 By Kerry Smith

Last year’s homebuyers can submit homestead exemption applications before March 1 – their once-per-year chance to apply for up to a $50K property tax reduction.

ORLANDO, Fla. – New homeowners – and especially first-time homeowners – can lower their home’s estimated value for tax purposes by up to $50,000 if they apply for and receive a homestead exemption.

However, they only have two months to do so through their county property appraiser, which can be found online. Applications must be in before March 1, 2023.

The exemption rewards Floridians who live in the home. Of the $50,000 exemption, the first $25,000 applies to all property taxes, including school district taxes. The additional exemption up to $25,000 applies to the assessed value between $50,000 and $75,000 and only to non-school taxes. (See section 196.031, Florida Statutes.)

If applying for the first time, they Florida Department of Revenue says new homeowners should be prepared to answer the following questions:

  • Whose name or names were on the title on Jan. 1?
  • What is your Social Security number and your spouse’s Social Security number?
  • Were you or your dependent(s) living in the dwelling on Jan. 1?
  • Do you claim residency in any other county or state?

Property appraiser may ask for any of the following to prove residency:

  • Proof of previous residency outside Florida and the date ended
  • Florida driver license or identification card number
  • Evidence of that a driver license from another state was given up
  • Florida vehicle license plate number
  • Florida voter registration number (if U.S. citizen)
  • Declaration of domicile and residency date
  • Name of current employer
  • Address listed on last IRS return
  • Dependent children’s school location(s)
  • Bank statement and checking account mailing address
  • Proof of payment of utilities at homestead address

If moving from one Florida homestead to a new one, owners may be able to transfer – or “port” – all or part of their existing homestead assessment difference. Their county property appraiser will offer more information about the process.

© 2023 Florida Realtors®

Save on Property Insurance? More in Florida ‘Go Bare’

 By Rebecca San Juan, Andres Viglucci

If disaster happens, homeowners need property insurance. Cost is a big challenge for many, but there are ways to lower costs without nixing it altogether.

MIAMI – Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis last week signed into law a property insurance bill aimed at lowering the state’s skyrocketing homeowners insurance costs and staving off a looming crisis.

But some homeowners are already “going bare” in response to big policy renewal price increases, choosing to opt out of coverage, even though experts warn that’s a big mistake.

The state has no regulations mandating homeowners to carry insurance for fire, theft, hurricanes or floods. Mortgage lenders do require homeowners’ insurance, including windstorm coverage and, for homes located in designated flood zones, separate policies to cover damage from inundation.

But people can legally go without if they buy their homes in cash or own them outright by paying off their home loans.

That doesn’t mean it’s a good idea, experts say.

“I have often said that going without homeowners insurance is penny-wise and pound-foolish,” said Robert Hartwig, an economist and formerly president of the Insurance Information Institute who’s now a finance professor at University of South Carolina. “Few people would recover in a situation where their home was totally destroyed, and could through savings or borrowing be able to fully recover.”

How many Floridians are going without property coverage?

Florida regulators don’t track how many homeowners are choosing to forgo insurance. It’s a decided minority – but more go bare in Florida than across the rest of the country. The Insurance Information Institute estimated that 13% of all homeowners in the state don’t carry property insurance, nearly double the national average of 7%.

As policy costs continue to rise, that number could go quite a bit higher, experts and officials fear.

The country has over 30 million mortgage-free homes, according to a report published last month by Bloomberg News. The report also found that Palm Beach and Broward counties have the highest concentration of mortgage-free homes compared to any other county with over 500,000 residences.

About 460,000 condos and houses are paid off out of the nearly 1.2 million residences in the two counties. The concern is that many of those mortgage-free owners – whether in South Florida or elsewhere in the state – may be increasingly choosing to skip insurance altogether.

Who is going without insurance, and what are the risks?

While rising costs affect all income levels, they hit middle-income and low-income homeowners especially hard. Homeowners’ insurance typically runs between $4,000 and $5,000 a year for a single-family home in Florida, Hartwig said. Coverage for a condo is somewhat short of that. The additional cost for flood insurance varies widely, from hundreds of dollars to several hundreds of thousands.

Often those who forgo property insurance are low-income individuals that inherit a mortgage-free, family home and choose to skip coverage, Hartwig said.

The very wealthiest can afford to go bare and rebuild if disaster strikes. But lower-income homeowners who choose to forgo insurance because they can’t afford it are also the most vulnerable to losing everything in case of fire, flood or hurricane and being unable to rebuild. Many of them live in mobile homes or older houses or condos that may have been built under older building codes or are in need of repairs, and thus more susceptible to damage, experts say.

Because insurance also protects homeowners if someone is injured on their property, those who go without coverage risk full liability if someone sues them.

Because the risk to what is usually an individual or family’s single largest asset is so great without insurance coverage, state officials and experts strongly advise against dispensing with it.

“It is important for homeowners to purchase homeowners’ insurance,” said Florida’s Insurance Consumer Advocate Tasha Carter. “The purpose is to protect your largest asset. Without homeowners insurance, someone would be required to cover all of the costs to rebuild. Often times, the costs to repair are more than what someone can afford.”

Said Hartwig: “The insurance related to the value of the home is generally small. For a few thousand dollars a year you can protect your most valuable asset.”

I own a condo. Can I do away with my insurance?

Absent a mortgage, there is no requirement for an insurance policy covering the interior or contents of a condo unit, which is the owner’s responsibility. However, the condo association will usually have a master insurance policy to cover common areas, and that cost is passed on to individual unit owners, Carter said.

How can I figure out if I can afford to go ‘bare’?

Those willing to risk going without home insurance should consider the amount they need saved up in case of an emergency, the experts say. That includes not just enough to repair or rebuild, but the cost of temporary living expenses if a home becomes uninhabitable. The typical financial advice is to have three- to six-months’ worth of living expenses saved up.

Hartwig recommended saving about $725,000 to cover living expenses, fees to clear out debris, and reconstruction. That figure is for rebuilding a single-family home at the current median sale price in the state, which the Florida Realtors trade association puts at $407,000.

I can no longer afford property insurance. What can I do instead of going without it?

Homeowners can sometimes find savings by enlisting the help of an insurance agent or broker, though bargains in the current market, especially for windstorm insurance, which is calculated separately from basic fire and burglary coverage, don’t exist.

“Windstorm insurance is incredibly expensive,” said Thomas Nealon, an expert in property development at the University of Miami’s law school. “I got my bill and wondered if they had me confused with another McMansion in Pinecrest.”

Nealon advised obtaining multiple quotes and making sure you are taking into account the coverage and limits of each policy. Bundling different policies for homeowners and auto insurance with the same agent or company can also save some money on premiums. So can home improvements for storm and other hazard mitigation like burglar and fire alarms, hurricane-resistant windows and doors, including garage doors.

Experts also urged homeowners to take the highest deductible their insurer allows, which can save significantly on premiums. But be aware that will leave you holding the bag for damage and losses that could range well into the tens of thousands of dollars; so first be sure you can afford to cover that out of pocket.

If not, take a lower deductible. That can still save you some money while providing more coverage for losses and security.

© 2022 Miami Herald. Visit miamiherald.com. Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.

Citizens Policy Count Up 50% in 2022

 By Jim Saunders

While Florida’s “insurer of last resort” added over 750K policies last year, CEO Gilway expects 2023 improvements as recently enacted legislation begins to have an impact.

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – With private insurers dropping customers and raising rates, the state-backed Citizens Property Insurance Corp. saw its number of policies increase about 50% in 2022.

Citizens had 1,145,178 policies as of Dec. 30, up from 759,305 at the end of 2021, according to numbers posted Tuesday on the Citizens website. Citizens also added about 19,000 policies in December.

Citizens was created as an insurer of last resort and is something of a measuring stick for the health of the private insurance market. Citizens had 542,739 policies at the end of 2020 – meaning its policy count has more than doubled over the past two years.

During a special legislative session last month, lawmakers passed wide-ranging insurance changes that included trying to reduce litigation and help steer policies out of Citizens into the private market. Citizens President and CEO Barry Gilway has long blamed heavy litigation for many of the industry’s problems.

“This is historic legislation,” Gilway said last week on The Florida Insurance Roundup podcast. “It’s going to have a huge impact on this marketplace going forward.”

Gilway, who announced after the special session that he plans to retire, said he thinks the legislation will help draw new companies into the market, as they will not be stuck with past losses and will be able to charge actuarially sound rates. He expressed confidence that companies will take policies out of Citizens – though that might not come until late 2023 after the threat of hurricane damage subsides.

“We’re getting calls from investors saying, ‘Hey, is now the time to come in and provide capacity in this overall marketplace?” Gilway said on the podcast. “And, of course, our attitude is yes. I would expect a significant … attempted depopulation (of Citizens) in the November-December ‘23 time frame. I think that’s probably when we’re going to see the biggest impact of more capacity entering the market. But it’s unlikely they would do it before that simply because they’re not going to come in before the storm season.”

State leaders have long sought to keep policies out of Citizens, at least in part because of the risk that policyholders across the state could get hit with extra costs – known as assessments – if Citizens can’t pay all of its claims after a hurricane or multiple hurricanes.

Along with trying to reduce litigation and taking steps to help insurers obtain critical reinsurance, lawmakers also made changes specifically geared toward Citizens.

As an example, they approved preventing Citizens policyholders from being able to renew coverage if they receive policy offers from private insurers that are within 20% of the cost of the Citizens premiums. Citizens often charges lower rates than private insurers, and the change is aimed at pushing more customers into the private market.

But for residents in some areas of the state, Citizens has been virtually the only option for coverage. With those residents paying thousands of dollars a year for policies, the Legislature in the past has constrained the ability of Citizens to raise rates.

© 2023 The News Service of Florida. All rights reserved.